Written By John Bryant

A Hurricane Season on Steroids? The season begins 100 days from today, and signs point in the wrong direction.

Atlantic Ocean temperatures are exceptionally warm for February.

Get ready. All signs are pointing to a wild hurricane season ahead. Between rising ocean temperatures and the possibility of La Niña, we could be in for a real doozy. Let’s break down what’s brewing before the season even begins.

First up, the Atlantic is hot, hot, hot right now. We’re talking record breaking hot. Once the water hits around 80 degrees, it’s like throwing gasoline on a fire when it comes to hurricanes. The warmer the water, the stronger the storms.

Now add in La Niña, which tends to really rev things up by reducing wind shear and making the atmosphere go haywire. Put it all together, and you have a perfect recipe for storm formation, not exactly what we want to see as we’re staring down the barrel of hurricane season.

But it goes even deeper than that. Shifting weather patterns are turning up the heat (literally) when it comes to hurricane intensity. With the planet warming, so do the oceans. And warmer oceans pack more punch. We’re seeing more Category 3, 4, and 5 hurricanes than ever before. Rapid intensification is becoming the new norm. That’s when storm winds surge 35+ mph in just 24 hours. Wild stuff.

We can learn a lot from last season, too. Remember the forecasts called for an El Niño, which typically suppresses hurricane activity? Well, the Atlantic was so darn hot that we still got slammed with 20 named storms. With El Niño fading out, this year could be no holds barred. This is not meant to scare anyone but from everything I am analyzing, signs are increasingly looking that way.

The point is that we need to get smart on all the factors impacting hurricane behavior. Only then can we truly be prepared. I can tell you tons of research and work are being done, along with upgraded computer models to handle better the changes in a storm’s path and intensity.

As always, you know I will keep you updated.